A semiconductor engineer with over a decade of experience in solid state device research and industry analysis.
The prospect of the American media conglomerate taking over ITV has raised apprehensions about the impact on British public service broadcasting, a reality that the broadcaster's new top boss, joining from a key role at Sky, will be all too well aware of.
Sky’s commercial director, Priya Dogra, will now be expected to spearhead efforts to block her former employer’s takeover plan to defend Channel 4.
The potential union of Sky and ITV’s broadcasting operation would leave Channel 4 a much smaller player in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, fueling talk of the need to re-examine some form of partnership with the BBC for continued existence.
However, it is the potential ramifications on the future of news output that are causing the most present anxiety for many within the television industry.
The shock revelation last month that Comcast, which holds assets including Universal Studios and acquired Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is a logical business move. Traditional broadcasters are facing a long-term existential threat as audiences and revenues continue to swiftly shift to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.
“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing unease among media watchers, with particular concern for news provision.”
However, the potential £1.6bn takeover of ITV’s television business and streaming service, which would end 70 years of independence, is full of regulatory, political, and competition concerns.
Immediately, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its extensive regional news operation—and become the majority shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.
While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a majority holding—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main non-BBC broadcasters.
“If a deal is completed, the fate of ITN is an pivotal one that will concentrate attention politically,” notes one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”
Comcast promised to keep funding Sky News for a decade, raising its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that commitment draws closer to concluding, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to wholly support Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to lose money of as much as £80m.
It is thought that any deal to buy ITV would include pledges not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to change the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes obligations to national and regional news.
“There are certainly questions about diversity of voice,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to assert control... I would hope Comcast realise ways of solving these problems.”
British TV executives have previously cautioned about the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being taken over by US corporations.
Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “at-risk model” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.
The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had exceeded ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.
There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the landscape of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, signals the need for closer cooperation between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.
“The UK wants and needs its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a vital strategic need. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that compels them to collaborate.”
Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming powerhouse, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.
Any deal will necessitate an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will broaden the definition of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.
“I think it will get passed,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”
Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a eroded BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.
“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a structural funding problem,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly outperformed forecasts, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to run out of road.”
The evolving situation highlights a larger conundrum for British media: how to maintain a domestic voice and a robust public service ecosystem in an ever more globalised and digitally dominated landscape.
A semiconductor engineer with over a decade of experience in solid state device research and industry analysis.